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The following transcript is protected under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.5 License. Link to Audio and Episode Info Here
Show Transcript Deconstructing
Dinner Kootenay
Co-op Radio CJLY Nelson, B.C. Canada August
23, 2007 Title:
The End of Oil, The Start of Tasty Food Producer/Host: Jon Steinman Transcript: Pat Yama Jon Steinman: And welcome once again to
Deconstructing Dinner, produced at Kootenay Co-op Radio, CJLY, in Nelson,
British Columbia. I'm Jon Steinman your host for this weekly one-hour
examination of our food system, where it's heading, and what we can do about
it. Today's broadcast is an interesting one but by no means a new
topic. We have on a number of occasions looked at our food system's reliance on
oil, and how such a reliance will affect food systems of the future. For those
listeners of Deconstructing Dinner who tune in each week, today's topic may
seem repetitious, but there is certainly no arguing that our reliance on oil
for our survival is of paramount importance and could easily be said to be the
most pressing issue of our time. But nevertheless, revisiting with this topic is timely given
recent events. Based in Paris, the International Energy Agency, the IEA, is a
group acting as an energy policy advisor to 26 member countries, and they were
first formed during the oil crisis of 1973 to 1974. Now this is the most
important body that has been at the forefront of researching global energy
supplies and predicting and suggesting how resources should be allocated. And
just this past July, the IEA, for the first time ever, changed their tune with
respect to what had been an ongoing state of optimism in terms of global
supplies of oil. In a publication titled "Medium-Term Oil Market Report," the
IEA addresses the possibility of Peak Oil, a state in which the global supplies
reach their peak and then proceed to decline. Now Peak Oil has long been denied
by major oil producers, so needless to say, such a report can be seen as
monumental. So in light of this report we are going to do two things on
today's broadcast. In the second half we are going to revisit with a voice last
heard here on the program in November of 2006, and that is that of Julian
Darley of the Vancouver-based Post Carbon Institute. Julian was recently
visiting here in Nelson following an invitation by The West Kootenay Eco
Society. Julian spoke to an audience on the current global supplies of oil, and
he shared a number of very innovative projects the Post Carbon Institute is
working on including one located in Julian's new home of Sebastapol,
California. There, he has created what he refers to as a Local Energy Garden -
acting as an example of how local energy sources can be cultivated alongside
food. Deconstructing Dinner was on hand to record his presentation, and we will
hear segments of that. But launching the broadcast we will do something that was first
done back in April of this year here on the program, and that is revisit with
some old films created in the 1950's and 1960's on the topic of food,
agriculture and in the case of today's broadcast - oil. When attempting to
understand how our society has become so dependent on a non-renewable resource,
it's of critical importance to look back at some of the major influences that
led to such a widespread acceptance of such a reliance. And the segments of
audio we will shortly listen to are a great indication of how misguided our
society has been in creating a food system so dependent on oil. increase music and fade out Before
we jump into today's broadcast I'd like to share with you the title of today's
show, and that is "The End of Oil, The Start of Tasty Food." And the reason for
such a title does connect with one of the reasons why Deconstructing Dinner was
first conceived, and that was a result of my own and personal realization that
most of the food now available to Canadians, has no taste. Our fruits,
vegetables, baked goods, juices and the list could on, I find hardly have any
taste at all. And it was my own exploration into the world of eating locally,
eating foods in season, and eating foods created by independent processors and
producers that allowed me to realize that food could indeed taste really,
really good. Now this year was the first year that I chose to grow strawberries,
for example in my backyard here in Nelson. And I only experimented with two
plants that yielded a whopping total of maybe eight strawberries, but the
flavours that came out of these little red fruits was close to, I would say spiritual.
It forced me to close my eyes, disconnect myself from everything else I was
doing, and savour every moment that those flavours remained in my mouth. This
was a far different experience to those big grocery store strawberries that
taste like strawberry-flavoured water. And
so as we focus in on the reliance our food system has on oil, forecasting any end
to oil, would indeed spark a revolution of flavour, as the alternative to our
food system is of course growing food close to home and harvesting it at the
peak of ripeness. Maybe then our food can begin to again taste as it should,
and that is taste good. So
how did this happen, how did I for one get to a point of finally, so much
later in life realizing how good food should taste. Well looking back
about fifty years tells the story, when we arrive at the very convincing
educational films that were created by government and industry associations to
present to the public the benefits of the very globalized economy we now
embrace today. And looking back on these films is certainly eye-opening in
light of what we now know today - that our reliance on fossil fuels is devastating
life on this planet and that the very supply of these fuels is said to be at
their peak and about to decline. So we've put together some audio
segments from two films - one dating back to 1950 titled "Twenty Four Hours of
Progress," and the other one produced in 1960 titled "Miracles From Agriculture." This
first one, Twenty Four Hours of Progress, was commissioned by the Oil Industry
Information Committee in the United States and was produced by Film Counselors
Incorporated. And in this first segment from the film, viewers are introduced
to the miracle of oil and it then stresses how important oil has been in
creating the then modern agricultural system - a system that feeds the
majority of people today. This
is Deconstructing Dinner. Twenty
Fours of Progress The
only way I know of finding it, is to drill. Right
now in Scurry County Texas the producing company is getting ready to do just
that. Drill a well. They're moving their rig to do a territory where they know
oil has already been found. But that's no guarantee that this particular well
will come in. They still have to gamble equipment, supplies, men and time, just
on the chance of striking oil. Today as men drill deeper and deeper to find the
porous oil-filled rock, a single well can cost up to a million dollars. In the
oil fields, some wells flow by themselves; others have to be pumped. In many
oil-producing States, each well produces under a field quota called an
allowable which is set by State authorities. Such scientific conservation
methods mean progress and nobody knows it better than the State conservation
man who works with the oil companies. That's
right, you know, in the old days, sometimes as much as two-thirds of the crude
they might have gotten was left underground. Taking out oil as fast as possible
is inefficient and wasteful. Around here you'll find wells 20 and 30 years old
being reworked and oil being recovered. But in some places the stuff's lost
forever. Measuring and checking as I do every day, you don't find such waste
going on now. In
many modern fields, recycling plants process a lot of the natural gas that use
to be wasted. These days the gas goes through all this fancy equipment and out
of it comes chemicals which are used in making cloth and paint and plastics and
I don't know what all. If that's not progress, what is? Well, time to eat. (sounds
of airplane) It's
meal time in the air too. The airline passengers settling lunch trays in their
laps look down on the very farms that feed them. Farming has changed more in
the last 50 years than it did in the previous thousand. A farmer today can work
five times the land his father worked and still have time for leisure that his
father never knew. The petroleum that runs these modern hired hands has not
confined progress and farming to the fields. Life is easier for the farm wife
too. For one thing a wood pile is the thing of the past. To do her cooking and
heating today she can have liquefied petroleum gas delivered to the house by a
local dealer. Petroleum
does still other jobs that farmers would once have thought were miracles.
Petroleum derivatives kill insects and plant diseases, speed the ripening of
fruit and preserve it on the way to market. Today a farmer can fight the odds
of nature instead of giving in to them. Jon Steinman: "Today the farmer can fight
the odds of nature instead of giving in to them." Quite a powerful sentence. If
you are just tuning in, that was a segment from a 1950 educational film titled "Twenty
Four Hours of Progress." This last sentence could be said to be one of those
very quotes that humanity will one day look back on and either laugh or cringe
at, we'll laugh at how blind we were to think nature could be fought. But why
wait, I think we can look at this sentence right now and see how misguided
those that shaped our food system were, where it's now clear that fighting
nature is essentially fighting ourselves. We're
going to listen to one more clip from this film and then move on to yet another
production that can allow us to look back on the origins of our food system.
And in this clip the producers identify how oil-thirsty we indeed are, and that
humankinds' ability to harness fossil fuels is a sign of progress, a word we
continue to be bombarded with daily. Twenty
Fours of Progress Each
hour of the day our oil thirsty nation demands over 10 million gallons of
petroleum products. Between these and the raw material from which they come
there has to be a factory. The refinery is that factory. Just
a few decades ago a refinery was a primitive still making only kerosene. Today,
some of these great plants employ thousands of people. To many an American
community their established growth has meant new economic life. Listen. "My
job is painting. Even the outside of all these pipes and columns are in good
shape." And
at the same time in the port of New York, the SS America is taking out over 800
thousand gallons of bunker fuel. Since petroleum provides the power for both
our ships at peace and for our ships at war, oil power means sea power for our
nation. Power for the sea is also power for the land. More than any other
country in the world, America is a nation on wheels. The automobile and the
power behind it have been major factors in the growth of our country. We can
drive anywhere when we want to, at any time, for any reason, including fun. Out
of the city into the country. Down to the sea or inland. To the mountains if we
live on the coast. To meet the demands of our over 36 million cars, oil canning
plants also work around the clock. Altogether we drive our cars a billion miles
a day. It seems no other people in the world want so much just to get going and
have a little time. Maybe it's just that no other people can get going so
easily. Every
hour of the day finds oil men trying to make petroleum do more for us. The oil
scientists in research laboratories are pacesetters in the race of progress,
working with products still unnamed and some that are still unthought of. With
each new development of our inventive age, be it peaceful or otherwise, the
petroleum industry is faced with a host of new problems. Our thousands of
competing oil companies invest over a 100 million dollars every year in
research. Each companies objective is the same - discover a new product,
perfect it, and put it in production before the others do. They start with
competition but they create this progress. With
a switch to another brand of gasoline or with a purchase of a new detergent
made from an oil byproduct, a company has lost a customer. Another company has
gained a customer. It's as simple as that. What it comes down to is that the
oil industry has to please Mrs. Martin and millions just like her. Already
today she's used some 87 petroleum products including the plastic bacon wrapper
and the wax of the milk carton. She'll top a hundred before the day is over.
Mrs. Martin is the customer and the customer is the boss of the oil industry. The
air travellers from the West have crossed a whole continent since morning. Not
for one hour or mile were they out of hearing of the men and women in the
petroleum industry. Oil and the people who bring it to us are so much a part of
our lives that they're everywhere. Our
Tuesday is ending and the country goes to bed. But everyone is not asleep. The
pump does not know when midnight comes. Days are the same to it. It pumps from
Tuesday to Wednesday without a halt. Each day, every day, it brings us another
24 hours of progress. Building our nation, guarding its security, assuring the
future of America. Jon Steinman: And this is Deconstructing Dinner and
that was the second clip from the 1950 film Twenty Four Hours of Progress
produced by the Oil Industry Information Committee. And that last sentence
predicted that oil would assure the future of America, and today as the United
States sets its eyes on countries like Iran and Venezuela - very rich oil-producing
nations, we can now see how true this statement was when it was first made back
in 1950. As we continue on with our look back in time to the origins of our
food system and its dependence on a resource that is said to be at or nearly
arriving at its peak of global supply, we arrive at another film titled "Miracles
From Agriculture," produced in 1960 by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. In this first clip we hear of the blindness that accompanied the
origin of a food distribution system which is said, as you are about to hear,
to be functional despite distance and season. The narrator stresses that
agriculture is going far beyond nature, and that this is, as he states, a
miracle, lending a religious quality to such innovations as oil. Miracles From Agriculture Supermarket. Symbol of the highest standard of living in this
country today. These products come from farms and ranches despite distance and
season. They are the result of a miraculous agriculture. Tremendous advances on
the farm and in the marketing system have created this miracle. The miracle
whereby American agriculture has advanced more in the space of a single
lifetime than world agriculture had in more than 7,000 years. Today, agriculture is going far beyond nature to produce new miracles
for even better, more abundant life. The work of the men behind the scenes is
done on the farm, in the laboratory, and in the marketplace. On the farm today,
wherever you look you see the handy work of scientists - improved crops; more
productive soils; more useful, more efficient machinery. Not only has
agriculture miraculously increased yields, feed more people. Take this combine
- it harvests 400 per hour. Scientists working to improve plant quality through
breeding have given potatoes shallow eyes so they are easier to peel. And they
have also improved storage methods. This is just one of 200 perishable products
which move to market when and where needed, thanks to an intricate market
information system. Great new harvesting systems and distribution methods had
to be developed to bring these crops from far away farms, fresh to our tables.
And so, a rolling factory gathers together the goodness of nature and does it
economically. Through imagination and hard won knowledge, through science and
technology, agriculture works newer and newer miracles. Jon Steinman: In
this next segment, the Miracles From Agriculture extend to that of industrial
meat production, which as was much more apparent in 1960 when this film was
first produced, made up a segment of food production never before seen in the
history of humankind, and all of it because, of oil. Miracles From Agriculture Behind the miracle of our abundant meat supply are better breeds
of livestock and improved feeds. Cattle and other meat animals are carefully
inspected for safety and wholesomeness. Meat products are better today than
they were a generation ago and more plentiful. This feedlot uses a train to
help finish cattle for high grade meat. Meat - the most important item in the
American food budget. Turkeys which use to be a holiday feast have been bred in
smaller sizes with more white meat to please you and your family. One of the most remarkable food miracles is the story of chicken -
a triumph of research on the farm and in the marketing system. Once something
special for Sunday dinner, chicken inspected and graded is now thrifty every
day. Yes in one generation people of this country have doubled their
consumption of poultry. Farm research has led to the control of disease, improvement of breeds,
advancement of production. Marketing research has developed low-cost methods of
mass distribution in processing, storing, handling and packing. And these boxes
join the never-ending parade of food. Food on the move, crisscrossing the
country. Boxes are loaded on trains and trucks. These huge refrigerators on
wheels bring farm products to assembly points and connects central markets with
retail stores. Transportation and terminal markets are being developed to serve
the growing America to bring products from farm to city in the most economical
way possible. And so agriculture advances. Other scientists have fixed the
glutens in flour so that industry cooks can make your favourite bake and serve
products. In this case, a mechanical cook fries chickens and then combines them
with pre-cooked vegetables to be frozen on individual serving trays. Now anyone
can heat and serve can cook a meal. Thus agricultural research in colleges,
industry and government goes forward. Result - new products, new businesses, more
jobs, greater buying power for the products of both farm and industry. Each
advance in agricultural knowledge helps everyone whether you farm or not. Eventually all the good things reach the retail stores. Yes, the
corner grocery has really grown up. Shoppers enter the supermarket on one side.
Along the other a steady stream of products is delivered on a tight schedule.
It is here that the miracles of research and services are tied together for the
consumer. Every day from American farms and ranches, from distant parts of the
world, from packing sheds and processing plants across the nation comes a great
variety of foods Americans demand. The supermarket, created by research and
industry is the showplace of today's agriculture. Help yourself to a miracle.
Yes, here's where the shopper benefits from the work of the scientists and the
farmer, the processer and the marketer. Now in one shopping trip the average
family can buy a full week's supply of groceries. History teaches that a nation grows according to its agriculture,
the very basis of life. And so Americans of all ages, in cities, suburbs and
rural areas will remain in the best fed, best clothed, best housed people in
the world, thanks to more and more miracles from agriculture. Jon Steinman: And
that was a segment from the 1960 U.S. Department of Agriculture production
titled "Miracles From Agriculture." There will be links to these videos in
their full length and visual format off of the Deconstructing Dinner website at
cjly.net/deconstructingdinner. And this is Deconstructing Dinner, a weekly one-hour program
produced at Kootenay Co-op Radio in Nelson, British Columbia. Today's broadcast
titled "The End of Oil, The Start of Tasty Food" is exploring a topic that we
often feature here on the program, and that is our food system's dependence on
a resource that is not only harming life on this planet, but is becoming more
and more accepted to be at or nearing its peak of global supply. In just a
moment we will hear more about the current global supplies of oil and some
recent changes of opinion by the International Energy Agency. But to first
conclude the historical look back to the beginning of our food system when oil
was seen as a miracle for life as we know it today, it's important to pinpoint
one word that was used very frequently in both the films we just heard segments
from. And that word is "progress." Language is certainly a powerful tool to
help form public perception, and in the era when these films were produced and
that is post World War II, growth was indeed taking place at a rate never
before seen in human history. As change can often be feared by many, the use of
the word "progress" no doubt had a profound impact on how the public viewed the
innovations that accompanied the creation of the food system we now live among
today. But while many would argue that the age of such propaganda as we just
heard has come and gone, the complete opposite could also be said to be true,
as one of the most common faces making their way onto the mainstream media is U.S.
President George W. Bush. And what is one his favourite words to describe the
war in Iraq? Progress. Airing on weekdays on The Comedy Network, The Daily Show's Jon
Stewart is always quick to point out the hypocrisy and contradictory nature of
both American politics and the media system that it feeds or should I more
correctly say, that is fed by the media. The Daily Show did run a
segment highlighting the ongoing use of the word "progress" by George W. Bush,
and in the segment they highlight his use of this word in a reverse
chronological order. In doing this, the segment illustrates how powerful such
language can be in shaping public perception. The segment begins with a clip in
2006 and ends with one from 2003. Take a listen. The Daily Show Jon Stewart: Bush had come
mainly to discuss the war spending bill. Recently passed by the Democratic
Congress which gives the President all the funding he desires for the troop
surge but ties the funding to a definite date for withdrawal of the troops. And
you won't believe what the President thinks of that idea. President Bush: Pushing
legislation that would undercut our troops just as we are getting to make
progress in Baghdad. Jon Stewart: Oh, we're just
beginning to make ... NO! They just pulled the rug... NO... it's just happening now!
You know I seem to remember - we've been making progress for quite some time. President Bush: It's progress and
it's important progress. It's an important part of our strategy to win in Iraq.
Iraq has made incredible political progress. Iraqis are making inspiring
progress. Iraq has made incredible political progress. I believe we're making
really good progress in Iraq. We're making progress. We're making steady
progress. We're making progress. It's slowly but surely making progress. In the
battle of Iraq, the United States and our allies have prevailed. (audience laughing) Jon Stewart: Wait a minute!
Wait a minute I've figured this out. I know it's wrong with what we've done in
Iraq. We've been following time as it goes forward. What a classic mistake.
Linear time is so pre-9/11. Jon Steinman: And
this is Deconstructing Dinner. In the remainder of today's broadcast on the
topic of oil and our food system's dependence on it, we will listen in on
segments from a lecture we recorded here in Nelson back in July of 2007. And
that last segment featuring a clip from The Daily Show, which broadcasts every
weekday on the Comedy Network, nicely introduces this next speaker. As Host Jon
Stewart jokingly commented that America had made the mistake of following time
as it goes forward. Now in the case of what The Post Carbon Institute's Julian
Darley spoke about during his presentation here in Nelson, in a way he suggests
the very same thing, that as a society we need to begin looking backwards to
where we have come from in order to determine what direction we should now be
heading in. Julian Darley was first heard here on Deconstructing Dinner back
in November 2006 when we featured segments of a presentation he gave in
Vancouver in February of that year. But we were fortunate enough here in Nelson
to have Julian visit this past July as part of an event hosted by the West
Kootenay EcoSociety - a not-for-profit environmental organization based here in
Nelson. Julian Darley's Post Carbon Institute is based in Vancouver but he
did recently move to Sebastapol, California to launch a project we will learn
about just shortly. The aim of the institute is to assist communities to
relocalize and adapt to an energy constrained world. Julian spoke about the
current global supplies of oil and what communities can begin to do to respond
to this. But he first introduces what Post Carbon means and why he thinks
limits are so important. Nelson Presentation {audience clapping) Julian Darley: The first thing I'm going to
do is say a little word about what Post Carbon means. It's a little preamble as
any good play requires a little sort of quiet beginning and then we really sort
of get going. Post
Carbon means beyond non-renewable hydrocarbons. Fossil fuels, now that's a bit
of a mouthful so that's why we prefer to say Post Carbon. It also means beyond
anthropogenic greenhouse gases which includes carbon dioxide but also methane
and the noxes as they are so-called; they're oxides of nitrogen. And sort of prefigure
what we're going to talking about tonight, our tagline is "reduce consumption,
produce locally." And this economy is based on a huge energy profit, an energy
payback which is sometimes called energy return on energy invested. And that's
going to become very important to us in this 21st Century because
we'll notice this and previously we sort of haven't noticed this because we've
had a seemingly unlimited supply of growing energy. And that's one of the
reasons why we're in the room tonight to discuss this change. Now
one of the exciting things that I have to tell you about this evening for those
of you that don't already know is that this Century will be interestingly
different from the last Century and perhaps much more similar to some other
preceding Centuries which is not what we've been told for the last 50 odd
years. And the reason for this is that we are going to expect this exciting
discovery that the chaps and the lady who wrote "The Limits to Growth" in 1972
turn out to have been right in spades. That there are indeed limits to the
atmosphere, to its ability to absorb carbon dioxide and methane and other gases
of this sort. There are limits to the soil which we are busily strip mining as
fast as we can. There are limits to water which we are busily taking over as
fast as we can and even as we conspire to melt the glaciers and reduce the amount
of potable water, available to us and the rest of nature. Jon Steinman: As is the focus of our
broadcast today, oil, Julian Darley introduces the limits to oil, the
foundation of our food supply. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: There are also, what we are
discovering, limits to oil, natural gas. Apparently according to new reports on
coal there seem to be much tighter limits on the availability of coal unto
which I say "hurrah." There appears to be less uranium than we thought and
large hydro is becoming limited in great part because of climate change, which
is shrinking the sources of water, which fill up these great dams. And, all of
this means and there are limits to growth itself. And our colleague, Richard
Heinberg's new book coming out later on this year is called "Peak Everything"
which kind of gives you the idea. It's a wonderful title, you don't really need
to say anything more. So
I'm portraying this as you can hear in an excited fashion, of course this is
all very good news. That might sound a bit bizarre but certainly from the
planet's point of view this is good news because I think there are signs that
poor old planet Earth is getting a bit fed up with us and in fact limits are
good. And I mean that quite seriously as well as slightly tongue in cheek.
After all if you think about the organism or the life that has unrestrained
growth as it's ideology we call that cancer. And there's plenty of that about
and I don't think any of us really likes it. Nature of course is absolutely
full of limits. And limits will provide for us and for those of us who can
perceive these limits as being opportunities. They will indeed be fantastic
possibilities here. And for those of us that want to see the return of the
local economy at the growth of the local economy and the shrinking of the
other, which begins with "g," these limits will in fact be the wonderful break
that we've been waiting for. Jon Steinman: Jumping back to the old
educational film segments that we listened in on at the beginning of today's
show, one segment that stands out is the ending of the 1960 film titled "Miracles
From Agriculture." That film ends with an image of a baby being fed by his mother,
while the narrator says this, "with today's food, tomorrow's citizens can grow
healthy" and he concludes, "thanks to more and more miracles from agriculture."
Now this rhetoric continues today. We see it in the pesticide and biotechnology
industries, we see it coming from the world's major agricultural and food
producers. But in this next segment featuring The Post Carbon Institute's
Julian Darley, we are not providing a future for children such as that
suggested in the film, but are instead creating a much more difficult future
for them. And here Julian introduces a recent shift in the global energy
outlook by the influential Paris-based International Energy Agency, the IEA, a
body set up to advise the major Oil producing nations on energy supply and
security. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: We're also taking the
environment as we said from the past but also from the future, borrowing it
from our grandchildren and our great grandchildren without their permission,
not as far as I can see with any intention of returning it with interest which
could be a good thing in this sense. And we're also taking it from other
species. And so the grand challenge to us as human beings now especially
industrialized ones but all of us is, can we imagine sustained ways of living,
ways of provisioning ourselves, that's really what the economy is about, that
actually lives within our means? Now
let's look at one of the limiting factors which some of you may already be very
familiar with, perhaps even all of you, but forgive me if I just mention again
just to remind us because there are a few new bits to the oil situation even in
the last couple of days. This discovery of oil peaked in 1930 and even the most
hard-lined economists can surely be persuaded of the idea that before you
extract oil, produce it as it's called in the industry, before you can extract
it you really ought to try to find it. So what's so important about this is you
can see that the pattern of discovery makes this kind of mountain shape or a
bell curve shape if you like here. And it's interesting how the pattern of
extraction or discovery so closely follows this. This projection from Colin
Campbell for the Association of Study of Peak Oil and Gas, this projection
suggests that we will peak in all liquids by about 2010. But I think that there
is increasing evidence to suggest that we're peaking around about now. And why
do I say that? None other than the International Energy Agency, based in Paris
representing the twenty-six OECD countries and typed and set up as sort of a
energy watchdog hasn't been doing a frightfully good job lately but they've
just sort of started changing their tune even in the last 24/48 hours. And a
couple of graphs will show why they're so worried. This is the historical oil
supply up to and including the first quarter of this year. And you can see
under that sort of circle there that production to any pair of eyes surely is
in a platter now and it's actually declined from that peak there in 2006. So I
think we can see very clearly that unless something dramatic happens the
production's in a plateau. Now
look very carefully at the following chart on the same organization which
predicts a demand for the rest of this year. That plateau by the way is
plateauing at about just over 85 million barrels a day. Now look at this. That
is a projection for the last three-quarters of this year. And you'll notice a
staggering increase in demand rising through 86 million barrels a day so that
by the end of this year we are looking at an oil demand of just over 88 million
barrels a day. Now you've just seen that oil production has plateaued at 85.5
million barrels a day. Where's it all going to come from? And just in the last
couple of days the International Energy Agency announced quietly, that they
don't know. They just say in a little paragraph that anyone can go and visit on
the web, they just say in a little paragraph that there is going to be a
shortfall in production for this year and that they're going to be calling on
the middle eastern countries to bring into play their spare capacity and in the
next sentence they say but the trouble is we don't really don't think that
spare capacity is there anymore for various reasons. So there, in a little
paragraph just tucked away is the prediction that before the end of this year,
Peak Oil will explode onto the screens of just about everybody in the world,
most likely in the form of dramatically higher prices. Jon Steinman: And this is
Deconstructing Dinner. The report that Julian Darley refers to released in July
2007 by the IEA will be linked to from the Deconstructing Dinner website, and so
you can check it out there. But another interesting point that came out of this
report is their reference to biofuels as an alternative to the oil supply
crunch that is predicted for the end of this year. As has already been seen,
the new surge of biofuel production has raised food prices significantly and
are not as environmentally friendly as they're being marketed to be. Large
tracts of forests are being razed for plantations and increasing supplies of
water are required to irrigate these new crops. And so this is where The Post Carbon Institute's often referred to
concept of relocalization comes in. Such an idea is both ecological and
economical. On the economic side of things, many local economies have suffered
and continue to suffer when outside sources invest into these economies and
extract the wealth that is being created within the community itself.
Relocalizing introduces a whole new economic system that is more in line with
location rather than extraction. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: I'd like to spend the rest of
the time here, about 20 minutes or so, talking about in more detail about
relocalization and some of the programs and ideas that we've developed to help
us all relocalize. That is to say, getting our daily needs from within the
locale as much as we possibly can. Relocalization
or global relocalization which means doing it on a wide scale means working to
rebuild and retrofit our communities based on the local production of food,
energy and other necessities. The shortening of supply chains, this is
absolutely vital. The closing of loops on our vital needs which means trying to
keep good things within the community as much as possible. And for instance,
particularly not letting money flow out into the greater global system where
you don't tend to see it again. It will mean over a period of time, moving from
a fuel to a foot economy. Before petroleum came along we all basically ran on
muscles. They may have been horses or oxen or our own but that's mainly what we
had. We Brits brought in some coal and some steam and so forth and began this
whole industrializing process off but that way of life as I said is going to go
away during this century. And one of the ideas that I want to promote is what
was the case before 1850 is that communities were based on five minute walking
distance. That's about a quarter of a mile. The thing to aim for is getting
your daily necessities from within a quarter of a mile radius. That can be
done; it is done. It's done in Europe and I lived it for five years. It's
definitely possible but it's a bit unusual in North America but that's where we
should be aiming. Jon Steinman: Where energy
is going to come from in a Post Carbon economy is the focus of Julian Darley's
work. He, like others who share the same global outlooks, stress that it won't
be possible to just give up our dependence on energy in order to manage our
daily needs. His solution, growing local energy while at the same time growing
local food. But he does stress, that his ideas are in no way the same as that
of the widespread global shift towards biofuels. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: The relocalization of energy.
The first big key to energy as to everything else is to reduce consumption. And
that is going to mean taking part in a planned contraction of our dependence on
the global economy because I believe it is true to say that the global economy
is going to go into a prolonged contraction anyway. So we will all be doing
ourselves a vast favour if we reduce our dependence on it anyway. Although it's
going to be a little dramatic I suspect in the beginning and we, as I've said,
we may even find out as soon as the end of this year what that's going to start
looking like. We must start producing locally including local, reliable,
renewable energy. And I know you in Nelson have got some hydro here and you're
very lucky. Most places don't have access to so much renewable energy. One
of the other newish programs that we developed in the last year and a half
which I hope people here will find it exciting is the Energy Farms Network. It
has become obvious to us with the decline particularly in liquid fuels which is
coming, that we will need to extend food farming into fuel, feedstock, fibre,
and fertilizer and where you've got it as you have here, into control of your
forests as well. We call this local energy, local energy farms, to stress that
this is the antithesis, the very opposite of industrial biofuels which are
already wrecking the planet. They're taking out rainforests anew to plant palm
trees which are very high bearing oil - they bear a lot of oil which is being
sent to Europe to turn into biodiesel. And this is just a little short of
criminal. In fact it probably is criminal. It's a staggeringly bad idea. But we
cannot just transition off liquid energy fuels. I hope no one dreams that we
can overnight and therefore we're going to need some substitutes. And if, like
me you incredibly dislike the idea of corn ethanol which is another piece of
near-insanity for different reasons and you dislike the idea of tearing out yet
more rain forests to plant these palm oil trees, then reduce consumption of
liquid fuels and start thinking about how to produce some locally. I mean
really locally. And I'll say a word about how you can produce some in your
gardens as we've started doing but also on your farms. And there are many of
you I think in the room or in the locale are farmers. And we have to start
thinking about producing fuel, feedstock, and fibre even as we increase the
amount of food we're producing. And I believe this is actually possible. But it
will need more people on the land taking very great care of the land. In fact
square foot by square foot and in doing that way you can rejuvenate the soil
and you can increase yields but it's a lot of work. I don't try to minimize
that. Jon Steinman: To better share the research
and ideas that Julian Darley has in this field of local energy farming, he did
recently move from Vancouver to Sebastapol, California where he now operates an
experimental demonstration garden that comprises the Post Carbon Institute's
Energy Farms Network. And he introduces this project. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: One of the ideas of this
research demonstration is that we want to show that we can grow food and fuel
locally at a small scale. And the idea is we want to spread this energy gardens
idea as fast as we can and it's caught remarkable interest at the local level.
It's exciting. But even if you have a small patch we've got some little boxes,
4' x 4' to encourage people even with the tiniest garden or even a balcony,
that you too can start planting and growing something and learning about soil
and compost and these vital activities. And we are growing oil seeds for
biodiesel. We're growing sugar crops like sugar beet and sorghum for the
production of ethanol and also biomass. And we're collecting some manure
including chicken manure to put in our biogas digestives to research the making
of biogas in a temperate zone. Now
what are we going to do with these crops? Well the first important thing is
they have stacked functions. They will do various things. Flax for instance
produces a wonderful oil for human beings. The fibre can be turned into linen.
For hundreds of years, linen was a staple for fabric for making clothes and
sheets and other things. And we're going to need to rediscover the marvelous
properties of flax. You can mostly use it for composting. Other crops - almost
all the crops we grow which are possible fuel crops are also possible food
crops with the idea that if we say to ourselves - well we're short on food, we
can't afford to make these, these sorghum or these Jerusalem artichokes into
ethanol for instance, we can eat them. That's our decision but in this case we
can't have our sorghum and eat it as it were. You can't do both although you
can compost it. There's a lot of things that you can do at the same time. But
it will be our decision. This is very important. If you are growing your own
local biofuels which are also possible foods as well, you can decide. But you
will be deciding in the full knowledge that if I eat my biofuel, I can't also
put it in my gas tank. So, that will be our decision and that surely, wouldn't
you rather it was our decision than the decision of Archer Daniels Midland,
because they don't care about us very much at all. Jon Steinman: If you're just tuning in,
this is Deconstructing Dinner and today's show titled "The End of Oil, The
Start of Tasty Food." We are listening to segments of a presentation we
recorded here in Nelson back in July of this year. Julian Darley of the Post
Carbon Institute was invited to speak at an event hosted by the West Kootenay
EcoSociety. I will quickly note that you can learn more
about the Institute's Energy Farms Network by visiting their website at
energyfarms.net. Now as is part of the relocalization of energy,
the relocalization of food is also of paramount importance. Julian Darley
highlights the absurdity of our current food system whereby apples from one
region are essentially traded with apples from another, which while maybe
making economic sense, makes very little environmental sense. Here's a quick
clip from the 1960 film Miracles From Agriculture which we heard from just
earlier. Miracles From Agriculture And these boxes join the never-ending parade of food. Food on the
move, crisscrossing the country. Jon Steinman: And here's
Julian Darley speaking on the relocalization of food. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: Now in terms of the
relocalization of food, we must reduce or in some cases eliminate our use of
oil and gas feed stocks. I hope we can all agree on this though it will give us
problems of a large scale and we don't shy away from this. We must reduce the
use of inorganic fertilizers, pesticides, herbicides. It's toxified the whole
planet. The use of genetically modified organisms I believe to be a scandal and
scourge and totally unnecessary. And also this pointless, destructive trading of
similar foods you get in places in two regions that both produce apples and
then they trade with them. And economists can prove to you that it actually
makes the economy go faster and the awful thing is that it's true but it also
takes a lot of energy and this is kind of one of the pointless practices we're
going to have to stop engaging in. But beware it could have economic effects. We
are going to need to eat more vegetables. We need to try to reduce to the
extent that we can our dependence on heavily flesh-based diet. There are even
medical studies, which suggest that eating three, giant portions of meat a day
isn't very good for us, and it's certainly not good for the planet. Of course
we should be producing local organic food and eating as seasonally as we
possibly can. There will be benefits in terms of community and personal health,
in terms of food security and of course it will be a great benefit to local
farmers and local gardeners too and it will help replenish the soil. One
of the tricky areas which is less obvious and I think is going to be something
those of us that can or interested must turn our minds to is the relocalization
of manufacturing. One suggestion we have is community-supported manufacturing
is just one. The problem is there was so much of our vital stuff and goods
being made in the Far East, it's economically non-viable to go back to local
production at the moment and we know that. So special things are going to have
to be done to help bring back local manufacturing. Some of the things that
we're going to have to look at once again - food, the preserving of, the
drying, the pickling of. Fibre for making clothing, fabric, paper, rope, fire,
I thought it somewhat whimsically. We need high temperatures for pottery and
for glass and of course also in foundries and for forging of metals. We are so
dependent on metals. Metals are incredibly important to our lives and I know
there are some people in the community that know how to work metals. We must
value our metal workers a great deal more and I encourage people to learn about
metals. And
one of the other things which some of you in this room must have already
thought about and perhaps already do is, we must learn once again to fix and
repair things. By the way, fixing and repairing many of the things which are
made now in our daily lives is not very easy. I mean even to fix this
microphone if it went wrong wouldn't be easy and to fix this computer would be nearly
impossible and virtually every other object that you can imagine that's got a
high level of technical design and production in it. And that's one of the
things about relocalizing production. We need to encourage people to design
things and make things locally. When you design something and made it yourself
or in collaboration with your colleagues you've got a much higher chance of
knowing how to fix it. And this is going to become really vital in the future. Jon Steinman: One
comment made earlier in Julian Darley's presentation was in reference to the
impact relocalizing can have on local economies. In an age where fossil fuels
dominate the functioning of the global economy any investment into communities
that is either dependent on this unsustainable system or has profited from this
system, is essentially spreading the risk of unsustainability around the world.
And this is where the idea of local currencies come in, which as Julian
suggests can be far more reflective of the local economy and of the solar
income that an area maintains. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: there will be more time with
family and with friends and community as there was in the past. There is bound
to be because sharing and working together makes that happen. One
of the other difficult subjects, which has a sketchy or patchy past is that of
local money and local currency. I've looked at this quite a lot over the last
few years and been involved with some of the pioneers of it and I remain
convinced that we must take local currencies seriously. And we in California
are doing some experiments with some renewable energy backed currency actually
starting with some things called carbon coupons. And we're actually asking
people to give us their kitchen food scraps and in return for them, we will
give them carbon coupons. Because in each kilogram of food scraps there may be
as much as four megajoules of energy. And if you think that in a gallon of
gasoline there's about 130 megajoules of energy, that shows you that there's
quite a lot of energy even in just a pound or two, a kilogram or so of humble
food scraps. And we think this is a very exciting idea because everybody has
food scraps. And we can take those food scraps and feed them to our compost
heaps and our biogas digestives and our chickens and then we can sell them back
using the same payment method as these carbon coupons as eggs or soil and is
eventually some kind of energy. Biogas is not so easy to bottle but it's all
part of the system. So this is very interesting and we'll be reporting on how
this goes. We think this has a chance of establishing a local currency because
we can start really, really small. So often local currencies need to start big
and I'm not against that idea if only it can work. I'm very interested in
planting small seeds. Start with what you've got. Start from where you are and
build on that. One
of the intriguing things about renewable energy backed to currency is it will
help you to tune your economy to what your solar income actually is. And that's
something that we really are going to need a lot more help to do because our
economies are in tune to fossil fuels and you can see where that's got us. Jon Steinman: As we near the end of today's
broadcast, I'll leave you with two more areas that Julian Darley suggests
should be relocalized. And the first is education. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: A very tricky area at least
on a large scale to relocalize is education because we don't have much control,
at least most of us over our education, at least our formal education. I
believe that the spread of misinformation and downright indoctrination has
reached epidemic proportions in so many parts of the world including here.
There's been this not surprising but horribly erroneous focus on growth and of
course there's been a corporatization of the education system and in all parts
including at the university and even in the high schools and junior schools.
What we need to produce are curricula based on different aspects of
relocalization of what the locale needs. We need to produce people who have the
skills in designing and making and repairing vital things. And the benefits
would be in informed citizens prepared for a relocalized post carbon world. And
also prepared to do a much better form of democracy as well which doesn't work
very well with uninformed citizens. And we need to increase the awareness all
through our system through education of community resource use and needs. Jon Steinman: The second half of today's
broadcast has featured segments from a presentation we recorded in July of this
year given by Julian Darley of the Post Carbon Institute. And you can learn
more about the Institute and their many ongoing projects by visiting their
website at postcarbon.org. And in closing out the broadcast, I'll leave you
with this last segment in which Darley suggests one more area that needs to be
localized, and that is the media. He introduces the Institute's Global Public
Media project, which Deconstructing Dinner became a proud partner with in 2006. Nelson Presentation Julian Darley: The relocalization of media
is a very important and sometimes a tricky issue. You do have good local radio
here and that's wonderful. It would be so much more help to us if the national
media were much more on side and were more understanding of these problems.
That may come slowly but in the meantime I believe that those of us that are
skilled in the internet can use the internet to spread media through that
medium. And we have a Global Public Media as some of you know which has been
going for about six years now. Global Public Media offers free internet broadcasting
that streams long format, audio and video, interviews covering complex issues,
complex scientific and complex issues of production and includes indepth
analysis with world experts. We talk about such things as Peak Oil, climate
change, population, geopolitical conflicts, environment and more. Serious
stuff. But I think we're moving into a serious age although ironically, in this
serious age I think we are going to tell far more and better stories, many of
which will be far funnier than in my opinion, than the dribble we see on
television. And I speak as one who once worked in Hollywood working on some of
that dribble. And I'm glad I don't do that any more even though it was fun at
the time, I have to admit. The thing about Global Public Media is it will be
deliberately designed for serious content. ending theme Jon Steinman: And that was this week's
edition of Deconstructing Dinner, produced and recorded at Nelson, British
Columbia's Kootenay Co-op Radio. I've been your host Jon Steinman. I thank my
technical assistant John Ryan. The
theme music for Deconstructing Dinner is courtesy of Nelson-area resident Adham
Shaikh. This radio program is provided free of charge to
campus/community radio stations across the country, and relies on the financial
support from you the listener. Support
for the program can be donated through our website at
cjly.net/deconstructingdinner or by dialing 250-352-9600. Till
next week.
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